Prevalence and Prognostic Implications of PSA Flares during Radium-223 Treatment among Men with Metastatic Castration...

Radium-223 (Ra233) prolongs the survival of men with symptomatic bone-predominant metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). However, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response patterns are not closely associated with Ra223 therapy outcomes. Herein, we sought to analyze the impact of Ra223-induced PSA flares on patient outcome. Using a retrospective cohort study of Ra223 treatment in four Ontario/Canada cancer centres, we identified 134 patients grouped into sub-cohorts according to distinct PSA response patterns: (i) initial PSA flare followed by eventual PSA decline; (ii) PSA response (≥30% PSA decrease within 12 weeks of treatment); and (iii) PSA non-response. We analyzed patient characteristics and outcome measures, including overall survival (OS), using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank testing. PSA flares were observed in 27 (20.2%), PSA responses in 11 (8.2%), and PSA non-responses in 96 (71.6%) patients. Amongst PSA flare patients, 12 presented with post-flare PSA decreases below baseline and 15 with PSA decreases below the flare peak but above baseline. Although only six flare patients achieved ≥30% PSA decreases below baseline, the median OS of all flare patients (16.8 months, 95% CI 14.9-18.7) was comparable to that of PSA responders and non-responders (p = 0.349). In summary, around 20% of mCRPC patients experience Ra223-induced PSA flares, whose outcome is similar to that of men with or without PSA responses. Further studies are needed regarding suitable biochemical surrogate markers of response to Ra223.