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Verifying the Magnitude Dependence in Earthquake Occurrence
Giuseppe Petrillo1, Jiancang Zhuang1
1The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Research Organization of Information and Systems, 10-3 Midoricho, Tachikawa, Tokyo 190-0014, Japan.
Abstract:
The existence of magnitude dependence in earthquake triggering has been reported. Such a correlation is linked to the issue of seismic predictability and it remains under intense debate whether it is physical or is caused by incomplete data due to the missing short-term aftershocks. Working firstly with a synthetic catalog generated by a numerical model that captures most statistical features of earthquakes and then with a high-resolution earthquake catalog for the Amatrice-Norcia (2016) sequence in Italy, where for the latter case we employ the stochastic declustering method to reconstruct the family tree among seismic events and limit our analysis to events above the magnitude of completeness, we found that the hypothesis of magnitude correlation can be rejected.
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