Risk Factors for Chronic Atrial Fibrillation Following Lung Lobectomy

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication following lung lobectomy and is associated with increased risk of stroke, mortality, and prolonged hospital length of stay. The purpose of this study was to define the risk factors for POAF after lobectomy, hypothesizing that operative approach would be associated with risk of chronic POAF.

The TriNetX database was used to identify adult patients with no history of arrythmia receiving elective lung lobectomy for cancer from 7/6/2003-7/6/2023. Patients were categorized by approach: video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) or open. The outcome of interest was the presence of POAF occurring at 1-3 months ("early") and 12-24 months postop ("chronic"). Propensity matching was performed to reduce bias between cohorts.

We identified 22,998 patients: 8472 (36.8%) who received open and 14,526 (63.2%) VATS lobectomy. The rate of early POAF was 3.7% of VATS and 5.3% of open patients. The rate of chronic POAF was 5.5 % of VATS patients and 6.2% of open lobectomy patients. Propensity matching decreased bias between the approach groups, creating 7942 pairs for analysis. After matching, the risk of early POAF was greater in the open approach (5.5% open vs 3.4% VATS, risk ratio 1.607 (95% confidence interval 1.385-1.865), P < 0.001). Chronic POAF was (also) higher in the open approach (6.3% open vs 5.2% VATS, Risk Ratio 1.211 (95%CI 1.067-1.374), P = 0.003).

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) occurs more commonly after open lobectomy, both acutely and chronically. Providers should counsel patients about the risk of chronic arrythmia after lung resection.