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Cost-Sensitive Decision Support for Industrial Batch Processes
Simon Mählkvist1,2, Jesper Ejenstam1, Konstantinos Kyprianidis2
1Kanthal AB, 73427 Hallstahammar, Sweden.
Abstract:
In this work, cost-sensitive decision support was developed. Using Batch Data Analytics (BDA) methods of the batch data structure and feature accommodation, the batch process property and sensor data can be accommodated. The batch data structure organises the batch processes' data, and the feature accommodation approach derives statistics from the time series, consequently aligning the time series with the other features. Three machine learning classifiers were implemented for comparison: Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest Classifier (RFC), and Support Vector Machine (SVM). It is possible to filter out the low-probability predictions by leveraging the classifiers' probability estimations. Consequently, the decision support has a trade-off between accuracy and coverage. Cost-sensitive learning was used to implement a cost matrix, which further aggregates the accuracy-coverage trade into cost metrics. Also, two scenarios were implemented for accommodating out-of-coverage batches. The batch is discarded in one scenario, and the other is processed. The Random Forest classifier was shown to outperform the other classifiers and, compared to the baseline scenario, had a relative cost of 26%. This synergy of methods provides cost-aware decision support for analysing the intricate workings of a multiprocess batch data system.
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