Long-Term Survival Following Primary Graft Dysfunction Development in Lung Transplantation

Primary graft dysfunction (PGD) is a known risk factor for early mortality following lung transplant (LT). However, the outcomes of patients who achieve long-term survival following index hospitalization are unknown. We aimed to determine the long-term association of PGD grade 3 (PGD3) in patients without in-hospital mortality.

LT recipients were identified from the United Network for Organ Sharing Database. Patients were stratified based on the grade of PGD at 72 h (No PGD, Grade 1/2 or Grade 3). Groups were assessed with comparative statistics. Long-term survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier methods and a multivariable shared frailty model including recipient, donor, and transplant characteristics.

The PGD3 group had significantly increased length of stay, dialysis, and treated rejection post-transplant (P < 0.001). Unadjusted survival analysis revealed a significant difference in long-term survival (P < 0.001) between groups; however, following adjustment, PGD3 was not independently associated with long-term survival (hazard ratio: 0.972; 95% confidence interval: 0.862-1.096). Increased mortality was significantly associated with increased recipient age and treated rejection. Decreased mortality was significantly associated with no donor diabetes, bilateral LT as compared to single LT, transplant in 2015-2016 and 2017-2018, and no post-transplant dialysis.

While PGD3 remains a challenge post LT, PGD3 at 72 h is not independently associated with decreased long-term survival, while complications such as dialysis and rejection are, in patients who survive index hospitalization. Transplant providers should be aggressive in preventing further complications in recipients with severe PGD to minimize the negative association on long-term survival.