Historical Trends in Cannabis Use Among U.S. Adults Ages 19-55, 2013-2021

The current study used U.S. national data to examine trends in cannabis use from 2013 to 2021, focusing on changes in cannabis prevalence during young and middle adulthood and whether trends differed by sociodemographic characteristics.

Data from 2013 to 2021 from 21,182 respondents ages 19-30 and 29,871 ages 35-55 in the national Monitoring the Future panel study (followed since they were in 12th grade in 1976-2020) were used to model historical trends in cannabis prevalence (any 12-month use, any 30-day use, and near-daily use [≥20 occasions in the past 30 days]).

Prevalence of 12-month, 30-day, and near-daily cannabis use significantly increased from 2013 to 2021 for both young and middle adults. Trends for all three behaviors indicated either consistent linear increases or two-slope increases in which the slope estimate was larger in more recent years. Historical increases in 12-month and 30-day use were similar for young and middle adulthood; the historical increase in near-daily use among middle adults had some evidence for a possible pandemic-related deviation. Historical trends did not differ by race/ethnicity or college degree. Trends for 12-month and 30-day use differed by sex, with women increasing more than men over time, especially during middle adulthood.

Significant increases in the prevalence of cannabis use have occurred over the past decade for young and middle adults across sociodemographic groups, with some indication that near-daily use increased among middle adults at the onset of the pandemic. Although men continue to have a higher prevalence than women, the gap has narrowed, with greater increases in cannabis use among women.