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Testing Fraternal Birth Order Effects and Antagonistic Effects for Homosexual Men: Power Comparison of Various
Michel Raymond1, Daniel Turek2, Pierre-André Crochet3
1Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution, University of Montpellier, CNRS, EPHE, IRD, place E. Bataillon, 34095, Montpellier, France. michel.raymond@umontpellier.fr.
This study evaluated statistical methods for distinguishing the older brother effect and the maternal antagonist effect on male sexual orientation. Simulation data revealed varying test performance, with some consistently underperforming or showing high type-I error rates for the older brother effect.
Area of Science:
- Behavioral Neuroscience
- Genetics
- Psychology
Background:
- The older brother effect (FBOE) and maternal antagonist effect (AE) are hypothesized biological determinants of male homosexual preference.
- Both effects can lead to homosexual men having more siblings and older siblings than heterosexual men.
- Distinguishing between FBOE and AE requires statistical methods that control for the other effect.
Purpose of the Study:
- To formally compare existing statistical approaches for discriminating between the FBOE and AE using simulated data.
- To evaluate the performance of these tests in terms of their ability to reject the null hypothesis under specified alternative hypotheses.
Main Methods:
- Utilized simulated family data to rigorously assess statistical tests.
- Compared approaches based on regression, Bayesian modeling, and contingency tables.
- Evaluated tests for their power, type-I error rates, practicability, and ability to control for confounding variables.
Main Results:
- For FBOE detection, test performance varied significantly depending on the underlying effect-generating function; no single test was universally superior.
- Some tests for FBOE consistently performed poorly or exhibited high type-I error rates.
- For AE detection, a clear ranking of test performance was established across all tested parameter values.
Conclusions:
- The choice of statistical test for investigating FBOE and AE is critical and depends on the specific hypotheses and data characteristics.
- Some commonly used statistical methods may be unreliable for distinguishing these effects.
- Further research should consider the practical limitations and statistical properties of each test when analyzing family data related to sexual orientation determinants.
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