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MORTALITY RISK ASSESSMENT AMONG PATIENTS, HOSPITALIZED FOR COVID-19
L Beselia1, M Tsintsadze1, I Sakvarelidze2
11David Aghmashenebeli University of Georgia, Tbilisi, Georgia.
Insights
Severe COVID-19 outcomes in chronically ill patients are influenced by age and medical conditions. Key mortality predictors include sepsis, mechanical ventilation, and inflammatory markers, highlighting the need for further research.
Area of Science:
- Critical care medicine
- Infectious diseases
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Georgia reported over 1.8 million COVID-19 cases with 17,132 deaths.
- Insufficient data exists on risk factors for mortality in severe COVID-19.
- Chronic medical conditions are associated with critical COVID-19 illness.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate clinical features of severe COVID-19 in chronically ill patients.
- To determine prognostic factors influencing outcomes in intensive care unit (ICU) patients.
- To identify predictors of mortality in this vulnerable population.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective study of 250 chronically ill COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU.
- Patients divided into survivor and non-survivor groups.
- Analysis of demographic data, comorbidities, and various clinical/laboratory characteristics (ultrasound, ECG, CT, blood markers).
Main Results:
- Factors decreasing survival chance included elevated C-reactive protein (CRP), hydrothorax, sepsis/septic shock, high white blood cell (WBC) count, and mechanical lung ventilation.
- Increased survival chance was associated with higher partial pressure of oxygen (pO2).
- Mortality predictors identified: coagulation characteristics, inflammatory markers, sepsis, and mechanical ventilation.
Conclusions:
- Chronically ill patients in the ICU with COVID-19 face decreased survival chances due to specific clinical and laboratory factors.
- Sepsis, mechanical ventilation, and inflammatory markers are significant predictors of mortality.
- Further research into COVID-19 mortality risk factors is crucial for pandemic preparedness.
Abstract:
In Georgia, the number of confirmed cases of Coronavirus were 1,85,5289. Among them, 17 132 patients died. Information on risk factors for mortality is insufficient. The purpose of our research is to evaluate clinical features of heavy patients with severe COVID and determine prognostic factors of outcome. Factors associated with critical COVID-19 included older age and certain chronic medical conditions. The clinical material of 250 chronically ill COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit was retrospectively studied. We divided the patients into two groups. The dead and the survivors. Demographic data, comorbidities, chronic diseases, results of ultrasound, cardiography, computed tomography and laboratory characteristics were studied. In patients with chronic diseases, in the intensive care unit during COVID-19, the relative chance of survival decreases: CRP3 - OR=0.98(95% CI:0.97-0.99Hydrothorax- OR=0.24(95% CI:0.06-0.95); Sepsis/Septic shock - OR=0.07(95% CI:0.01-0.39); WBC - OR=0.86(95% CI:0.74-0.99); Mechanical lung ventilation - OR=0.01(95% CI:0.00-0.05)); increase survival relative chance- pO2 - OR=1.03(95% CI:1.0-1.06). Predictors of mortality in patients with chronic diseases: coagulation characteristics, inflammatory markers, sepsis, and artificial lung ventilation. Risk factors for covid-19 mortality need to be studied to increase pandemic preparedness.
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