Uncertainty Quantification of Fiber Orientation and Epicardial Activation

Predictive models and simulations of cardiac function require accurate representations of anatomy, often to the scale of local myocardial fiber structure. However, acquiring this information in a patient-specific manner is challenging. Moreover, the impact of physiological variability in fiber orientation on simulations of cardiac activation is poorly understood. To explore these effects, we implemented bi-ventricular activation simulations using rule-based fiber algorithms and robust uncertainty quantification techniques to generate detailed maps of model variability. Specifically, we utilized polynomial chaos expansion, enabling efficient exploration with reduced computational demand through an emulator function approximating the underlying forward model. Our study focused on examining the epicardial activation sequences of the heart in response to six stimuli locations and five metrics of activation. Our findings revealed that physiological variability in fiber orientation does not significantly affect the location of activation features, but it does impact the overall spread of activation. We observed low variability near the earliest activation sites, but high variability across the rest of the epicardial surface. We conclude that the level of accuracy of myocardial fiber orientation required for simulation depends on the specific goals of the model and the related research or clinical goals.