Risk factors for biliary strictures and leaks after living-donor liver transplantation: a systematic review and...

Liver transplantation is the only curative treatment of end-stage liver disease. Unfortunately, a significant number of patients on the organ waitlist die waiting for an organ. Living-donor liver transplantation (LDLT) is an approach that has been used to expand organ availability. Although LDLT has excellent outcomes, biliary complications remain a significant drawback. This meta-analysis aimed to precisely assess the predictors of biliary stricture and leak after LDLT.

PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases were searched from inception to January 2024. Only studies that used a multivariate model to assess risk factors for post-LDLT biliary stricture or leak in adult participants were included. Studies reporting unadjusted risk factors were excluded. Pooled adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and pooled hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs for risk factors reported in ≥2 studies were obtained within a random-effects model.

Overall, 22 studies with 9442 patients who underwent LDLT were included. The post-LDLT biliary stricture rate was 22%, whereas the post-LDLT biliary leak rate was 14%. In addition, 13 unique risk factors were analyzed. Postoperative bile leak (OR, 4.10 [95% CI, 2.88-5.83]; HR, 3.88 [95% CI, 2.15-6.99]) was the most significant predictor of biliary stricture after LDLT. Other significant predictors of biliary stricture after LDLT were right lobe graft (OR, 2.56; 95% CI, 1.23-5.32), multiple ducts for anastomosis (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.08-2.43), ductoplasty (OR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.36-3.13), ABO incompatibility (OR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.16-1.81), and acute cellular rejection (OR, 4.10; 95% CI, 2.88-5.83). Donor bile duct size (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.74-0.91; P = .001, I² = 0%) was found to be significantly associated with reduced risk of post-LDLT biliary stricture. Donor age, recipient age, recipient male sex, and duct-to-duct anastomosis were not associated with an increased risk of post-LDLT biliary strictures. Multiple ducts for anastomosis (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.43-2.43) was a significant predictor of post-LDLT biliary leak. Recipient age, warm ischemia time, and duct-to-duct anastomosis were not associated with an increased risk of post-LDLT biliary leak.

In this meta-analysis, 7 unique risk factors were shown to be predictive of post-LDLT biliary stricture, one of which was associated with both post-LDLT biliary stricture and leak. Donor bile duct size was found to be protective against post-LDLT biliary strictures. Identifying reliable predictors is crucial for recognizing high-risk patients. This approach can facilitate the implementation of preventive measures, surveillance protocols, and targeted interventions to reduce the incidence of biliary strictures after LDLT.