Predictive values of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus nasal swabs for pneumonia in burn ICU patients

Zachary Carlson1, Robyn Stoianovici1, Sierra Young1

  • 1Department of Clinical Pharmacy, UC Davis Medical Center, Sacramento, CA, USA.

Abstract

Insights

Negative MRSA nasal swabs in burn ICU patients with suspected pneumonia are highly specific and accurate for ruling out infection. This can help de-escalate antibiotics, but repeat swabs may be beneficial.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Disease
  • Critical Care Medicine
  • Burn Surgery

Background:

  • Pneumonia is a common complication in burn-injured intensive care unit (ICU) patients.
  • Accurate early diagnosis is crucial for appropriate antibiotic selection and de-escalation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the diagnostic performance of Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) nasal swabs for pneumonia in burn ICU patients.
  • To determine the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of MRSA nasal swabs.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cohort study of adult burn ICU patients (2016-2021).
  • Inclusion criteria: burns, pneumonia diagnosis, MRSA nasal swab on admission, and respiratory cultures with >=5 days of antibiotics.
  • Analysis of swab timing relative to antibiotic initiation.

Main Results:

  • 267 pneumonia cases in 136 patients.
  • Overall MRSA nasal swab sensitivity: 39%, specificity: 98.7%, PPV: 84.2%, NPV: 89.9%.
  • Swabs <7 days from antibiotics: specificity 98.6%, NPV 98.6%. Swabs >=7 days: specificity 98.7%, NPV 86.4%.

Conclusions:

  • High specificity and NPV of MRSA nasal swabs suggest utility in de-escalating anti-MRSA antibiotics in stable burn patients with suspected pneumonia, especially when obtained <7 days from antibiotic initiation.
  • The declining NPV with later sampling indicates potential benefit from periodic repeat swabs.
  • Negative MRSA nasal swabs can guide antibiotic stewardship in this vulnerable patient population.

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