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New and Highly Accurate Static Young's Modulus Model Using Machine Learning Techniques
Fahd Saeed Alakbari1, Syed Mohammad Mahmood1,2, Salem Saleh Bamumen3
1Center of Flow Assurance, Institute of Subsurface Resources, Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS, 32610 Seri Iskandar, Perak Darul Ridzuan, Malaysia.
Abstract:
Static Young's modulus (E s) is a critical property required in numerous petroleum calculations. Various models to forecast E s have been proposed in the literature. However, existing models, by and large, lack precision and are confined to specific data set ranges. This study proposes an alternative approach for E s determination, utilizing different machine learning methods, such as an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). In these proposed methods, the predictor variables include bulk formation density (RHOB), shear wave velocity (DTs), and compressional wave velocity (DTc). The models were trained on a data set comprising 1853 hydrocarbon reservoir rock samples from globally diverse locations. They were evaluated using trend, group error, and statistical error analyses. To test the efficacy of the proposed models, the optimally performing model was identified and used to detect the rock types along with the previously published models. Results indicated that ANFIS is the optimum model and can predict E s with an average absolute percentage relative error (AAPRE) of 5.1% and a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.9602. The ANFIS method has some benefits over other machine learning approaches insofar as its superiority in reaching a quicker decision about the mapped relationship between the inputs and outputs because it combines artificial neural networks and fuzzy logic in one tool. The ANFIS can perform a highly nonlinear mapping and displays a better learning ability. The proposed ANFIS model demonstrates its ability to capture accurate physical relationships between input rock properties and E s through trend analysis, which shows that increasing the RHOB increases the E s. Contrarily, increasing the DTc and DTs reduces the E s. Furthermore, the ANFIS model can accurately detect the rock types based on its E s determinations. This research demonstrates the importance of accurately predicting E s for the proper identification of rock types. Thus, this study offers potential advancements in geological assessments of hydrocarbon reservoirs and improvements in many petroleum engineering applications.
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