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New and Highly Accurate Static Young's Modulus Model Using Machine Learning Techniques.
Fahd Saeed Alakbari1, Syed Mohammad Mahmood1,2, Salem Saleh Bamumen3
1Center of Flow Assurance, Institute of Subsurface Resources, Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS, 32610 Seri Iskandar, Perak Darul Ridzuan, Malaysia.
This study introduces an advanced machine learning approach using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to accurately predict static Young's modulus (Es) in hydrocarbon reservoirs. The ANFIS model demonstrates superior performance in determining rock types and improving petroleum engineering applications.
Area of Science:
- Petroleum Geosciences
- Machine Learning Applications
- Rock Mechanics
Background:
- Static Young's modulus (Es) is vital for petroleum calculations.
- Existing models for Es prediction lack precision and are limited in scope.
- Accurate Es determination is crucial for geological assessments and reservoir engineering.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate novel machine learning models for predicting static Young's modulus (Es).
- To compare the performance of an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) against existing models.
- To assess the capability of ANFIS in identifying rock types based on predicted Es.
Main Methods:
- Utilized adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and other machine learning techniques.
- Employed bulk formation density (RHOB), shear wave velocity (DTs), and compressional wave velocity (DTc) as predictor variables.
- Trained and validated models on a diverse dataset of 1853 hydrocarbon reservoir rock samples.
Main Results:
- The ANFIS model achieved an average absolute percentage relative error (AAPRE) of 5.1% and a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.9602.
- ANFIS demonstrated superior predictive accuracy and faster decision-making compared to other machine learning methods.
- Trend analysis confirmed that increasing RHOB increases Es, while increasing DTc and DTs decreases Es.
Conclusions:
- ANFIS is the optimal model for predicting static Young's modulus (Es) with high accuracy.
- The ANFIS model accurately captures the physical relationships between rock properties and Es.
- This research offers significant advancements for geological assessments and petroleum engineering applications.
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