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Does counting change what counts? Quantification fixation biases decision-making
Linda W Chang1, Erika L Kirgios2, Sendhil Mullainathan3,4
1Operations, Information, and Decisions Department, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104.
People exhibit "quantification fixation," favoring options with numerically presented tradeoffs. This bias impacts decisions in hiring and donations, showing that numbers change what we value.
Area of Science:
- Decision Science
- Cognitive Psychology
- Behavioral Economics
Background:
- Humans often use numeric metrics for decision-making.
- Quantitative information can be challenging to process, potentially leading to underutilization.
- Numbers are uniquely suited for making comparisons, influencing judgment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how presenting choice dimensions numerically versus qualitatively affects decision-making.
- To identify the phenomenon of "quantification fixation" and its prevalence across various decision contexts.
- To explore the underlying mechanisms and consequences of this bias.
Main Methods:
- Conducted 21 preregistered experiments with over 23,000 participants.
- Participants made decisions involving tradeoffs (e.g., employee selection, policy choices, consumer preferences).
- Randomized the presentation format (numeric vs. qualitative) of tradeoff dimensions.
Main Results:
- Demonstrated a systematic shift in preferences towards options dominating on numerically presented dimensions.
- Observed "quantification fixation" in managerial, policy, and consumer decisions, including incentive-compatible tasks.
- Identified information fluency in comparative judgments as a key mechanism driving this bias.
Conclusions:
- Quantification fixation systematically influences decision-making, favoring numerically presented information.
- This bias has tangible financial consequences in real-world scenarios like hiring and charitable giving.
- The way information is presented numerically changes the perceived importance and value of decision attributes.
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