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Updated: Jun 9, 2025

Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Visceral Obesity and a High Glasgow Prognostic Score Are Key Prognostic Factors for Metastatic Colorectal Cancer
Teppei Kamada1, Hironori Ohdaira1, Takashi Aida1
1Department of Surgery, International University of Health and Welfare Hospital, Nasushiobara, Japan.
Objectives:
The prognostic significance of a high visceral fat area (VFA) in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) remains unclear. We evaluated the prognostic impact of high-VFA on the long-term outcomes of patients with mCRC who underwent chemotherapy.
Methods:
Ninety patients with metastatic CRC who underwent chemotherapy were included. VFA measurement was performed by pre-treatment computed tomography using image analysis system. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) rates were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model and Kaplan-Meier curves with the log-rank test.
Results:
High-VFA was identified in 39 patients. The OS (2-year OS rates: 51.6% vs 33.3%, p=0.0023) and PFS rates (2-year PFS rates: 18.0% vs 2.7%, p=0.012) were significantly lower in the high-VFA group than in the low-VFA group. In multivariate analysis, the independent significant predictors of OS were carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) ≥37.0 U/mL (HR: 1.99, 95%CI [1.20-3.31], p=0.007), Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) of 1 or 2 (HR: 2.65, 95%CI [1.53-4.58], p<0.001), and high-VFA (HR: 3.09, 95%CI [1.81-5.25], p<0.001). Similarly, the independent significant predictors of PFS were CA19-9 ≥37.0 U/mL (HR: 2.02, 95%CI [1.21-3.38], p=0.007), GPS of 1 or 2 (HR: 1.87, 95%CI [1.17-2.99], p=0.008), and high-VFA (HR: 2.65, 95% CI [1.61-4.35], p<0.001).
Conclusions:
We demonstrated that pre-treatment high-VFA and high-GPS were significantly associated with worse OS and PFS rates in patients with mCRC who underwent chemotherapy.

