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More pubs-More problems? A longitudinal analysis of Swedish panel data.
Thor Norström1, Tony Nilsson2,3, Johan Svensson2,3
1Swedish Institute for Social Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Drug and Alcohol Review
|December 2, 2024
Summary
Higher bar density correlates with increased nighttime police calls, especially in lower socio-economic status (SES) areas with higher heavy episodic drinking (HED) prevalence. This study highlights the link between alcohol outlets and public safety concerns in vulnerable communities.
Area of Science:
- Criminology
- Public Health
- Sociology
Background:
- Understanding the relationship between alcohol availability and crime is crucial for public safety.
- Bar density is a potential environmental factor influencing nighttime disturbances and police calls.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the association between bar density and nighttime emergency police calls.
- To investigate how socio-economic status (SES) modifies this association.
Main Methods:
- Utilized pooled cross-sectional time-series data from Swedish municipalities (2012-2021).
- Measured bar density (establishments serving alcohol after 1 AM) and nighttime police calls.
- Classified areas into low, middle, and high SES categories and estimated heavy episodic drinking (HED) prevalence.
- Employed fixed-effects modeling to analyze within-unit variations.
Main Results:
- A 10% increase in bar density was associated with a 0.46% rise in nighttime police calls (p=0.001).
- The association was significantly stronger in low-SES areas compared to mid-SES areas.
- No significant association was found in high-SES areas.
- Lower SES areas exhibited a higher prevalence of HED.
Conclusions:
- A significant positive association exists between bar density and nighttime police calls.
- This association is disproportionately stronger in low-SES areas, which also show higher HED prevalence.
- Findings suggest targeted interventions in high-density bar areas within low-SES communities may be necessary to mitigate public safety issues.
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