Type I interferon-stimulated genes predict clinical response to belimumab in systemic lupus erythematosus

The type I interferon (IFN-I) response is crucial in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). The mRNA level of interferon-stimulated genes (ISGs) is widely used for evaluating the activity of IFN in SLE. However, the character of ISGs in belimumab-treated SLE patients has not be reported. In this study, we enrolled 53 SLE patients undergoing belimumab treatment and assessed their clinical responses at 3, 6, and 12 months. The expression levels of 25 ISGs in Peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) were quantified at baseline and at 3 months using quantitative real-time PCR. Using Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-logistic regression, five genes (CXCL10, EPSTI1, HECR6, IFI27, IFIH1) were identified to predict belimumab efficacy. The IFN signature score, a multivariate logistic regression model based on the change rates of these genes, positively predicted the SLE responder index (SRI) at 12 months, with an area under curve of 0.940 in receiver operating characteristic and favorable outcomes in decision curve analysis. Patients with an IFN signature score ≥0 had higher SRI response rates, better clinical markers (including SLE disease activity index 2000 scores, anti-dsDNA, IgG levels, daily doses of prednisone, and higher complement C3 and C4 levels), and faster B cell decline than those with scores <0. In conclusion, after 3 months of belimumab treatment, the expression levels of IFN-I-inducible genes varied, and the IFN signature score reliably forecasted the SRI response at 6 and 12 months.