MRI-based microvascular invasion prediction in mass-forming intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: survival and therapeutic...

To establish an MRI-based model for microvascular invasion (MVI) prediction in mass-forming intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (MF-iCCA) and further evaluate its potential survival and therapeutic benefit.

One hundred and fifty-six pathologically confirmed MF-iCCAs with traditional surgery (121 in training and 35 in validation cohorts), 33 with neoadjuvant treatment and 57 with first-line systemic therapy were retrospectively included. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed to identify the independent predictors for MVI in the traditional surgery group, and an MVI-predictive model was constructed. Survival analyses were conducted and compared between MRI-predicted MVI-positive and MVI-negative MF-iCCAs in different treatment groups.

Tumor multinodularity (odds ratio = 4.498, p < 0.001) and peri-tumor diffusion-weighted hyperintensity (odds ratio = 4.163, p < 0.001) were independently significant variables associated with MVI. AUC values for the predictive model were 0.760 [95% CI 0.674, 0.833] in the training cohort and 0.757 [95% CI 0.583, 0.885] in the validation cohort. Recurrence-free survival or progression-free survival of the MRI-predicted MVI-positive patients was significantly shorter than the MVI-negative patients in all three treatment groups (log-rank p < 0.001 to 0.046). The use of neoadjuvant therapy was not associated with improved postoperative recurrence-free survival for high-risk MF-iCCA patients in both MRI-predicted MVI-positive and MVI-negative groups (log-rank p = 0.79 and 0.27). Advanced MF-iCCA patients of the MRI-predicted MVI-positive group had significantly worse objective response rate than the MVI-negative group with systemic therapy (40.91% vs 76.92%, χ² = 5.208, p = 0.022).

The MRI-based MVI-predictive model could be a potential biomarker for personalized risk stratification and survival prediction in MF-iCCA patients with varied therapies and may aid in candidate selection for systemic therapy.

Question Identifying intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) patients at high risk for microvascular invasion (MVI) may inform prognostic risk stratification and guide clinical treatment decision. Findings We established an MRI-based predictive model for MVI in mass-forming-iCCA, integrating imaging features of tumor multinodularity and peri-tumor diffusion-weighted hyperintensity. Clinical relevance The MRI-based MVI-predictive model could be a potential biomarker for personalized risk stratification and survival prediction across varied therapies and may aid in therapeutic candidate selection for systemic therapy.