An evolving understanding of multiple causal variants underlying genetic association signals

Understanding how genetic variation contributes to phenotypic variation is a fundamental question in genetics. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have discovered numerous genetic associations with various human phenotypes, most of which contain co-inherited variants in strong linkage disequilibrium (LD) with indistinguishable statistical significance. The experimental and analytical difficulty in identifying the "causal variant" among the co-inherited variants has traditionally led mechanistic studies to focus on relatively simple loci, where a single functional variant is presumed to explain most of the association signal and affect a target gene. The notion that a single causal variant is responsible for an association signal, while other variants in LD are merely correlated, has often been assumed in functional studies. However, emerging evidence powered by high-throughput experimental tools and context-specific functional databases argues that even a single independent signal may involve multiple functional variants in strong LD, each contributing to the observed genetic association. In this perspective, we articulate this evolving understanding of causal variants through examples from both traditional locus-by-locus approaches and more recent high-throughput functional studies. We then discuss the implications and prospects of this notion in understanding the genetic architecture of complex traits and interpreting the variant-level causality in GWAS follow-up studies.