Prediction of Reactivation After Antivascular Endothelial Growth Factor Monotherapy for Retinopathy of Prematurity:

Rong Wu1, Yu Zhang1, Peijie Huang2

  • 1Department of Ophthalmology, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.

Insights

Predicting retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) reactivation after anti-VEGF treatment is crucial. A new fusion model accurately forecasts ROP reactivation, aiding in optimized infant treatment and screening strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Ophthalmology
  • Medical Artificial Intelligence
  • Neonatal Care

Background:

  • Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a leading cause of preventable childhood blindness.
  • Intravitreal anti-VEGF injections are vital for preventing vision loss but can lead to ROP reactivation.
  • Accurate prediction of ROP reactivation is essential for effective treatment and management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate machine learning models for predicting ROP reactivation post-anti-VEGF treatment.
  • To compare the performance of conventional, deep learning, and fusion models in ROP reactivation prediction.

Main Methods:

  • Recruited 239 infants with ROP undergoing anti-VEGF treatment from three hospitals.
  • Constructed and evaluated conventional machine learning, deep learning, and fusion models.
  • Assessed model performance using area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity.

Main Results:

  • Out of 239 cases, 90 (37.66%) experienced ROP reactivation.
  • Conventional ML models achieved AUCs of approximately 0.806.
  • The fusion model demonstrated superior performance with an AUC of 0.822, sensitivity of 0.800, and specificity of 0.686 in testing.

Conclusions:

  • Developed three predictive models for ROP reactivation after anti-VEGF therapy.
  • The fusion model exhibited the best predictive performance.
  • This model can enhance ROP treatment strategies and improve post-treatment screening plans for infants.
Abstract