Related Experiment Video
Updated: Sep 17, 2025

05:37
An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
2.2K
A novel Compound-Pareto model with applications and reliability peaks above a random threshold value at risk analysis
Mohammad Abiad1, M M Abd El-Raouf2, Haitham M Yousof3
1College of Business Administration, American University of the Middle East, Egaila, Kuwait.
Scientific Reports
|July 2, 2025
Summary
This study introduces a new compounded-Pareto distribution to model aircraft windshield reliability data. The novel approach enhances extreme value risk modeling for improved product safety and durability.
Area of Science:
- Reliability Engineering
- Statistical Modeling
- Extreme Value Theory
Background:
- Aircraft windshield reliability is critical for safety and longevity.
- Existing models may not adequately capture bimodal and right-skewed failure data.
- Extreme value analysis is essential for understanding product performance limits.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a novel compounded-Pareto distribution for modeling aircraft windshield data.
- To evaluate the performance of the proposed distribution using simulation and real-world data.
- To demonstrate the utility of the model in reliability analysis and extreme value risk assessment.
Main Methods:
- Utilizing a novel compounded-Pareto distribution.
- Employing the method of maximum likelihood for parameter estimation.
- Conducting a comprehensive simulation study for finite sample performance evaluation.
- Applying Peaks Over a Random Threshold Value at Risk (PORT-VAR) analysis.
Main Results:
- The proposed compounded-Pareto distribution effectively models bimodal and right-skewed aircraft windshield data.
- Simulation studies confirm the performance of the parameter estimators.
- The model demonstrates practical applicability on real-world reliability datasets.
- PORT-VAR analysis provides rigorous assessment of extreme failure events.
Conclusions:
- The novel compounded-Pareto distribution is a suitable tool for aircraft windshield reliability analysis.
- The proposed method enhances extreme value risk modeling capabilities.
- This approach supports manufacturers in optimizing designs and maintenance strategies for enhanced product durability and safety.
Related Concept Videos
Hazard Rate
189
The hazard rate, also known as the hazard function or failure rate, is a statistical measure used to describe the instantaneous rate at which an event occurs, given that the event has not yet happened. From a probabilistic perspective, it represents the likelihood that a subject will experience the event in a very small time interval, conditional on surviving up to the beginning of that interval. In terms of frequency, the hazard rate can be viewed as the ratio of the number of events to the...
189
Parametric Survival Analysis: Weibull and Exponential Methods
628
Parametric survival analysis models survival data by assuming a specific probability distribution for the time until an event occurs. The Weibull and exponential distributions are two of the most commonly used methods in this context, due to their versatility and relatively straightforward application.
Weibull Distribution
The Weibull distribution is a flexible model used in parametric survival analysis. It can handle both increasing and decreasing hazard rates, depending on its shape parameter...
Weibull Distribution
The Weibull distribution is a flexible model used in parametric survival analysis. It can handle both increasing and decreasing hazard rates, depending on its shape parameter...
628
Random Error
1.7K
Random or indeterminate errors originate from various uncontrollable variables, such as variations in environmental conditions, instrument imperfections, or the inherent variability of the phenomena being measured. Usually, these errors cannot be predicted, estimated, or characterized because their direction and magnitude often vary in magnitude and direction even during consecutive measurements. As a result, they are difficult to eliminate. However, the aggregate effect of these errors can be...
1.7K
Unusual Results
3.3K
Unusual results are those that have a very low chance of occurring. Unusual results can be identified using probabilities and the range rule of thumb. In problems involving probability, unusual results can be observed in 2 instances – an unusually high number of successes or an unusually low number of successes.
According to the range rule of thumb, any value above or below two standard deviations, 2σ from the mean, μ is considered unusual.
Maximum unusual value =...
According to the range rule of thumb, any value above or below two standard deviations, 2σ from the mean, μ is considered unusual.
Maximum unusual value =...
3.3K
Probability in Statistics
14.7K
Probability is the likelihood of an event occurring. The term event is defined as a collection of results of a procedure. An event is a simple event when an outcome cannot be divided into simpler parts.
An example of a simple event is a coin toss. The result of a coin toss is either a head or a tail. Here, head and tail are two simple events. These two simple events make up the sample space. Further, the probability of an event occurring falls within the range of 0 to 1. The probability of an...
An example of a simple event is a coin toss. The result of a coin toss is either a head or a tail. Here, head and tail are two simple events. These two simple events make up the sample space. Further, the probability of an event occurring falls within the range of 0 to 1. The probability of an...
14.7K
Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error
1.1K
An experiment often consists of more than a single step. In this case, measurements at each step give rise to uncertainty. Because the measurements occur in successive steps, the uncertainty in one step necessarily contributes to that in the subsequent step. As we perform statistical analysis on these types of experiments, we must learn to account for the propagation of uncertainty from one step to the next. The propagation of uncertainty depends on the type of arithmetic operation performed on...
1.1K

