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Updated: Sep 14, 2025

A Rapid Method for Modeling a Variable Cycle Engine
Published on: August 13, 2019
A deep learning-based prognostic approach for predicting turbofan engine degradation and remaining useful life
Samiha M Elsherif1, Bassel Hafiz2, M A Makhlouf2
1Information Systems Department, Faculty of Computers and Informatics, Suez Canal University, Ismailia, 41522, Egypt. Samiha_ahmed@ci.suez.edu.eg.
Abstract:
Predicting the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of turbofan engines can prevent air disasters caused by component degradation. It is an important procedure in prognostics and health management (PHM). Therefore, a deep learning-based RUL prediction approach is proposed. The CMAPSS benchmark dataset is used to determine the RUL of aviation engines, focusing specifically on the FD001 and FD003 sub-datasets.In this study, we propose a CAELSTM (Convolutional Autoencoder and Attention-based LSTM) hybrid model for RUL prediction. First, the sub-datasets are preprocessed, and a piecewise linear degradation model is applied. The proposed model utilizes an autoencoder followed by an LSTM layer with an attention mechanism, which focuses on the most relevant components of the sequences. A fully connected layer of the convolutional neural network is used to further process the important features. Finally, the proposed model is evaluated and compared with other approaches. The results show that the model surpasses state-of-the-art methods, achieving RMSE values of 14.44 and 13.40 for FD001 and FD003, respectively. Other evaluation criteria, such as MAE and scoring, were also used, with MAE achieving values of 10.49 and 10.68 for FD001 and FD003, respectively. The scoring achieved values of 282.38 and 264.47 for the same sub-datasets. These results highlight the model's promise for improving prognostics and health management (PHM) systems, offering a dependable tool for predictive maintenance in aerospace and related fields. They also demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of the model in enhancing aviation safety.
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