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Predation pressure on sentinel prey does not necessarily diminish with advancing urbanization
Gábor L Lövei1,2, Roland Horváth1,3, Szabolcs Mizser3
1HUN-REN-UD Anthropocene Ecology Research Group, Debrecen, Hungary.
Insect Science
|August 21, 2025
Summary
Urbanization increases predation pressure in forests, contrary to expectations. This study found higher attack rates on model caterpillars in urban than rural habitats, especially during summer.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Urban Ecology
- Wildlife Biology
Background:
- Urbanization significantly alters natural habitats, impacting ecological interactions like predation.
- Understanding changes in predation pressure is crucial for assessing urbanization's ecological consequences.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate seasonal predation pressure in urban versus rural forests.
- To determine the impact of urbanization on predator-prey dynamics.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the sentinel approach with model caterpillars (plasticine) over a full season (April-October).
- Collected data in rural and urban forest fragments near Debrecen, Hungary.
- Analyzed attack marks to quantify predation pressure from arthropods, birds, and mammals.
Main Results:
- High overall predation pressure was observed, with up to 36% of models showing attacks.
- Predation pressure was significantly higher in summer than in spring or autumn.
- Surprisingly, urban habitats exhibited higher attack rates than rural habitats, contradicting the hypothesis of reduced predation in urban areas.
Conclusions:
- Urbanization may not decrease but can increase predation pressure in forest fragments.
- Higher urban predation could be due to factors like predator hunger or reduced vigilance in urban environments.
- Findings challenge general assumptions about predator-prey interactions in urbanized landscapes.
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