[Technical maturity and bubble risks of brain-computer interface (BCI): Considerations from research to industrial...

Brain-computer interface (BCI) technology faces structural risks due to a misalignment between its technological maturity and industrialization expectations. This study used the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) framework to assess the status of major BCI paradigms-such as steady-state visual evoked potential (SSVEP), motor imagery, and P300-and found that they predominantly remained at TRL4 to TRL6, with few stable applications reaching TRL9. The analysis identified four interrelated sources of bubble risk: overly broad definitions of BCI, excessive focus on decoding performance, asynchronous translational progress, and imprecise terminology usage. These distortions have contributed to the misallocation of research resources and public misunderstanding. To foster the sustainable development of BCI, this paper advocated the establishment of a standardized TRL evaluation system, clearer terminological boundaries, stronger support for fundamental research, enhanced ethical oversight, and the implementation of inclusive and diversified governance mechanisms.