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Gentrification and access to housing in Mexico City during 2000 to 2022.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America·2024
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Understanding disappearances in Mexico City: A data-driven analysis.

Daniel Aguilar-Velázquez1,2, Ruben Calvario Peréz2, Carlos Mondragón Mendoza2

  • 1Instituto de Física, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México, México.

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Mexico City sees rising disappearances, with the central district most affected. Vulnerability is higher among young women and in lower-income areas, linked to crime and socio-economic factors.

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Area of Science:

  • Criminology
  • Urban Studies
  • Sociology

Background:

  • Mexico faces a growing crisis of violence and disappearances.
  • Critical data on victim profiles, geographic patterns, and socio-economic links remain scarce.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the phenomenon of missing persons in Mexico City.
  • To identify victim profiles, geographic hotspots, and correlations with socio-economic factors and public security.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a government database of 3,450 disappearances in Mexico City.
  • Incorporated scraped data and applied K-means clustering to integrate various datasets.
  • Analyzed correlations between disappearances, mobility, housing prices, drug dealing, and perceived insecurity.

Main Results:

  • Disappearances are concentrated in the central district, linked to job-related mobility.
  • Young women (15-19) are the most vulnerable group; men constitute 62.5% of missing persons.
  • Strong correlations found between disappearances and drug dealing (r=0.95), and a negative correlation with housing prices (r=-0.7) after normalizing for mobility, indicating socio-economic segregation.
  • K-means clustering identified the eastern side of Mexico City as having higher disappearance vulnerability.

Conclusions:

  • Disappearances in Mexico City exhibit distinct geographic and demographic patterns.
  • Socio-economic segregation and organized crime appear to be significant contributing factors.
  • The eastern districts are identified as areas requiring focused attention for public security interventions.