Electrocardiographic LVH criteria: Poor diagnostic accuracy even with optimized cutoffs. Insights from MESA study

José Nunes de Alencar1, Sandro Pinelli Felicioni2

  • 1Electrocardiography Unit, Instituto Dante Pazzanese de Cardiologia, São Paulo, Brazil; Research Division, Instituto Dante Pazzanese de Cardiologia, São Paulo, Brazil.

Journal of Electrocardiology
|September 30, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Electrocardiogram (ECG) voltage criteria show poor accuracy for diagnosing left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) when compared to cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR). Combining ECG measures does not improve diagnostic performance for LVH.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Medical Imaging
  • Diagnostic Performance Evaluation

Background:

  • Electrocardiogram (ECG) criteria for left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) are commonly used to estimate increased left ventricular (LV) mass.
  • However, these ECG criteria demonstrate limited sensitivity in accurately diagnosing LVH.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the diagnostic performance of various ECG voltage criteria for LVH against cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) in a large population cohort.
  • To assess whether combining ECG indices improves LVH detection compared to individual criteria.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 4849 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) with ECGs and CMR-derived LV mass.
  • LVH defined by LV mass indexed to body surface area (LVMi) using established thresholds for men and women.
  • Assessment of multiple ECG criteria (Sokolow-Lyon, Cornell voltage, etc.) and combinations using logistic regression.

Main Results:

  • LVH prevalence was 30.2%.
  • ECG criteria at classic thresholds showed very low sensitivity (3.7-15.2%) but high specificity (>94%).
  • Optimized thresholds improved sensitivity (48.9-64.8%) but reduced specificity (54.4-74.3%), with modest diagnostic utility (LR+ <4).
  • Combining ECG indices did not improve diagnostic discrimination compared to the best single measure (AUC 0.646).

Conclusions:

  • ECG voltage criteria exhibit poor diagnostic performance for CMR-defined LVH, regardless of threshold optimization.
  • Aggregating multiple ECG indices does not materially enhance diagnostic accuracy for LVH.
  • Findings suggest reframing ECG voltage criteria as an electrical phenotype with prognostic value rather than a reliable diagnostic surrogate for structural hypertrophy.
Abstract

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