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Accounting for albedo in carbon market protocols
Lynn M Riley1,2, Susan C Cook-Patton3,4, Loren P Albert5
1American Forest Foundation, Washington, DC, USA. lriley@forestfoundation.org.
Albedo changes can significantly overestimate climate benefits in carbon offset projects. Over 10% of analyzed projects may have negated climate mitigation due to albedo effects, highlighting the need for better accounting.
Area of Science:
- Climate Science
- Ecology
- Environmental Science
Background:
- Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM) projects, including Afforestation, Reforestation, and Revegetation (ARR), are crucial for climate change mitigation.
- The climate benefits of VCM projects may be inaccurately assessed due to the exclusion of albedo (solar radiation reflection) changes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the impact of albedo changes on the climate mitigation effectiveness of ARR projects within the VCM.
- To propose methods for incorporating albedo accounting into carbon crediting protocols.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 172 Afforestation, Reforestation, and Revegetation projects in the VCM.
- Assessment of potential albedo effects on climate mitigation benefits for each project based on location.
Main Results:
- Over 10% of analyzed projects are located in areas where albedo changes could entirely negate their climate mitigation benefits.
- Approximately 25% of projects are in regions where albedo may reduce mitigation benefits by half.
- The majority of projects are situated in areas with minimal expected albedo impact, and 9% are in locations where albedo could enhance mitigation.
Conclusions:
- Current VCM project assessments may overestimate climate benefits by not accounting for albedo changes.
- Incorporating albedo data into carbon crediting protocols can improve accuracy and prioritize projects with genuine climate benefits.
- Further research and tools are needed to account for other biophysical changes like evapotranspiration in VCM project assessments.
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