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Constructing and Visualizing Models using Mime-based Machine-learning Framework
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Understanding machine learning weather prediction by designing a cost-efficient model with knowledge-oriented

Minjong Cheon1,2, Jeong-Hwan Kim1, Yumi Choi1

  • 1Climate and Environmental Research Institute, Korea Institute of Science and Technology, Seoul, South Korea.

Scientific Reports
|December 14, 2025
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

A new deep learning model, KARINA, offers efficient global weather forecasting with competitive accuracy. It utilizes novel modules to improve predictions while reducing computational costs, advancing machine learning in meteorology.

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Area of Science:

  • Meteorology
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computational Science

Background:

  • Deep learning models are increasingly used for global weather forecasting, outperforming traditional numerical models.
  • Training these advanced models requires substantial computational resources and limits understanding of their internal processes and accuracy variations.
  • The specific contributions of individual components to model performance and predictability remain unclear.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce KARINA, a novel data-driven model for enhanced weather forecasting with reduced computational demands.
  • To investigate the effectiveness of Geocyclic Padding and SENet modules within the ConvNeXt backbone.
  • To provide a framework for understanding machine learning weather model mechanisms and improving their performance.

Main Methods:

  • Developed KARINA, a data-driven model integrating Geocyclic Padding and SENet modules with a ConvNeXt backbone.
  • Conducted comprehensive trials to assess the impact of KARINA's modular components.
  • Compared KARINA's performance against established data-driven models (Pangu-Weather, GraphCast) and numerical weather prediction (ECMWF IFS).

Main Results:

  • KARINA achieved competitive performance against Pangu-Weather and GraphCast with significantly lower training costs.
  • KARINA surpassed ECMWF IFS numerical weather prediction accuracy up to a 10-day lead time.
  • Geocyclic Padding enhanced horizontal advection modeling, while SENet improved the capture of atmospheric convection dynamics.

Conclusions:

  • KARINA demonstrates that knowledge-oriented techniques can yield reliable and efficient machine learning-based weather prediction.
  • The modular design facilitates understanding of component contributions, paving the way for future improvements in AI weather forecasting.
  • This work offers a pathway to deeper insights into model mechanisms and enhances the development of superior machine learning weather prediction systems.