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Power priors for latent variable mediation models under small sample sizes
Lihan Chen1, Milica Miočević1, Carl F Falk1
1Department of Psychology, McGill University, Montreal, Qubec, Canada.
Informative priors improve Bayesian analysis for latent variable models with small samples. The Mahalanobis weight (MW) prior enhanced convergence, but performed poorly under non-exchangeability, unlike weakly informative priors.
Area of Science:
- Statistics
- Psychometrics
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Latent variable models often need large sample sizes for reliable results.
- Bayesian analysis with small samples benefits from informative priors, particularly power priors using historical data.
- Existing power prior methods are not always suitable for latent variable models.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate two adaptable power prior methods for latent variable models: Mahalanobis weight (MW) and univariate priors.
- To compare their performance against diffuse and weakly informative priors in small sample scenarios.
- To assess convergence, bias, efficiency, and credible interval coverage for indirect effect estimation.
Main Methods:
- Applied MW and univariate power priors, alongside diffuse and weakly informative priors.
- Utilized a latent variable mediation model.
- Simulated various sample sizes and degrees of non-exchangeability.
Main Results:
- Diffuse and univariate priors resulted in poor convergence.
- Weakly informative and MW priors improved convergence and provided reasonable estimates.
- MW priors showed suboptimal performance under certain non-exchangeable conditions.
Conclusions:
- Weakly informative priors offer a reliable approach for latent variable models with small samples.
- The MW prior shows promise but requires further refinement for non-exchangeable data.
- Future research should address limitations of current power prior methods in latent variable analysis.
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