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Power priors for latent variable mediation models under small sample sizes.

Lihan Chen1, Milica Miočević1, Carl F Falk1

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The British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology
|December 24, 2025
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Informative priors improve Bayesian analysis for latent variable models with small samples. The Mahalanobis weight (MW) prior enhanced convergence, but performed poorly under non-exchangeability, unlike weakly informative priors.

Keywords:
Bayesianadaptive priorslatent variable modelpower priorssmall sample

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Area of Science:

  • Statistics
  • Psychometrics
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Latent variable models often need large sample sizes for reliable results.
  • Bayesian analysis with small samples benefits from informative priors, particularly power priors using historical data.
  • Existing power prior methods are not always suitable for latent variable models.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate two adaptable power prior methods for latent variable models: Mahalanobis weight (MW) and univariate priors.
  • To compare their performance against diffuse and weakly informative priors in small sample scenarios.
  • To assess convergence, bias, efficiency, and credible interval coverage for indirect effect estimation.

Main Methods:

  • Applied MW and univariate power priors, alongside diffuse and weakly informative priors.
  • Utilized a latent variable mediation model.
  • Simulated various sample sizes and degrees of non-exchangeability.

Main Results:

  • Diffuse and univariate priors resulted in poor convergence.
  • Weakly informative and MW priors improved convergence and provided reasonable estimates.
  • MW priors showed suboptimal performance under certain non-exchangeable conditions.

Conclusions:

  • Weakly informative priors offer a reliable approach for latent variable models with small samples.
  • The MW prior shows promise but requires further refinement for non-exchangeable data.
  • Future research should address limitations of current power prior methods in latent variable analysis.