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The Wilcoxon signed-rank test for matched pairs evaluates the null hypothesis by combining the ranks of differences with their signs. It essentially tests whether the median of the differences in a population of matched pairs is zero. Since the test incorporates more information than the sign test, it generally yields more trustable conclusions. This test also does not require the data to follow a normal distribution, but two conditions must be met for it to be applicable: (1) the data must...
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Where Should I Signal? A Program-Level Analysis of Preference Signaling in the Orthopaedic Surgery Residency Match.

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Preference signaling in orthopaedic surgery residency applications reduced overall volume. Signals disproportionately favored community-based, lower-tier programs, offering insights for applicants and programs in the competitive match.

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Area of Science:

  • Medical Education
  • Surgical Residency Matching
  • Health Services Research

Background:

  • Orthopaedic surgery is a highly competitive US residency specialty.
  • Preference signaling was implemented in 2023 to manage application volume and enhance efficiency.
  • The distribution patterns of preference signals across residency programs remain largely unexamined.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the impact of preference signaling on orthopaedic surgery residency applications.
  • To investigate the distribution of preference signals across different program types.
  • To provide data-driven insights for applicants and programs in the orthopaedic residency match.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) data from 2021-2025.
  • Collection of application volumes, program characteristics, signaling percentages, and interview rates.
  • Calculation of application and signal densities, compared across program tiers (Doximity rankings), settings, sizes, and geographies.

Main Results:

  • Average application density decreased from 139.18 (2021) to 95.84 (2025) per position.
  • Average signal density was 61.22 signals per position.
  • Higher signal and application densities were observed in community-based, lower-tier, smaller, nonmetropolitan programs; lower densities in university-based, higher-tier, larger, metropolitan programs.
  • Interview rates were 23% for signaling applicants versus 2% for nonsignaling applicants.

Conclusions:

  • Preference signaling introduction correlates with reduced orthopaedic residency application volume.
  • Signals are disproportionately directed towards community-based, lower-ranked, smaller, and nonmetropolitan programs.
  • Findings offer valuable guidance for navigating the evolving orthopaedic residency match landscape.