Exploring the Toxicological Effects of Acetyl Tributyl Citrate Exposure on Osteoarthritis Based on Machine Learning,

Yifang Zhu1, Lin Deng1, Junxiang Xia1

  • 1Clinical Laboratory, Sichuan Province Orthopedic Hospital, Chengdu, Sichuan, People's Republic of China.

Abstract

Insights

Acetyl tributyl citrate (ATBC) may worsen osteoarthritis (OA) by affecting key genes like TNF and MMP8. This study identifies potential biomarkers for risk assessment and therapeutic development in plasticizer toxicology.

Area of Science:

  • Toxicology
  • Bioinformatics
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • Osteoarthritis (OA) is a degenerative joint disease with complex pathogenesis.
  • Plasticizers, such as acetyl tributyl citrate (ATBC), are widely used and their potential health effects require investigation.
  • Understanding the molecular mechanisms underlying ATBC's impact on OA is crucial for risk assessment.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the toxicological effects of ATBC on osteoarthritis (OA).
  • To elucidate the underlying mechanisms of ATBC-induced OA exacerbation using bioinformatics, machine learning, and network toxicology.
  • To identify potential biomarkers for OA risk assessment related to ATBC exposure.

Main Methods:

  • Identified ATBC targets and OA-associated differentially expressed genes (DEGs).
  • Performed intersection analysis, functional enrichment, and protein-protein interaction (PPI) network analysis.
  • Utilized machine learning (LASSO, Random Forest, SVM) for target validation, ROC analysis for diagnostic potential, Cibersort for immune infiltration analysis, and molecular docking.

Main Results:

  • Identified 40 common targets between ATBC and OA, significantly enriched in calcium signaling and neuroactive ligand-receptor interactions.
  • Validated TNF, MMP8, CXCR4, and SLC2A1 as core targets with diagnostic potential (AUC 0.762-0.970).
  • Confirmed ATBC binding to core targets and established an adverse outcome pathway (AOP) framework linking ATBC to OA progression via immune dysregulation.

Conclusions:

  • Key targets (TNF, MMP8, CXCR4, SLC2A1) and molecular docking results elucidate ATBC's role in exacerbating OA.
  • The developed AOP framework supports joint-health risk assessment of plasticizers.
  • Identified biomarkers offer potential for regulatory toxicology and therapeutic development.

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