Risk of AL Amyloidosis is Associated with Degree of Free Light Chain Elevation and Duration of Exposure

Systemic light chain amyloidosis (AL) arises from monoclonal immunoglobulin light chains, but determinants of progression from precursor states remain poorly defined. In a cross-sectional cohort comprising 1950 systemic AL patients diagnosed 2010-2024, 258 (13.2%) patients with a previously diagnosed plasma cell disorder (PCD) were compared to patients with no prior PCD diagnosis. Patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined signfiance (MGUS) and smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM) in the former group had lower difference between involved and uninvolved FLCs (dFLC), higher M-protein, and lower rates of t(11;14) at AL diagnosis. Patients developing AL from SMM had a shorter time to AL (median 34.2 versus 61.3 months) and higher dFLC (median 28.9 versus 11.0 mg/dl) compared to those from MGUS. Patients developing AL after known multiple myeloma (MM) or lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma (LPL) commonly lacked deep hematologic response before AL (≤ very good partial response in 78% of MM, 100% of LPL patients). We additionally studied longitudinally followed cohorts of 3,966 MGUS and 426 (SMM) patients with longitudinal FLC measurements and matched follow-up, in which 1.8% of MGUS and 7.2% of SMM patients developed AL. Those patients who developed AL showed markedly higher dFLC at MGUS/SMM diagnosis and more frequent λ restriction and rates of t(11;14). Higher dFLC was associated with progressively earlier AL development; a 10% cumulative risk occurred at 20 months for patients with a dFLC >80 mg/dL but was not reached if dFLC <10 mg/dL at an estimated median follow-up of 86 months. In multivariable analysis, dFLC >6.4 mg/dL (HR 11.3) and λ isotype (HR 3.6) independently predicted AL, whereas heavy chain secretion was associated with lower risk (HR 0.2 for IgG). These findings indicate that AL risk is primarily driven by cumulative light chain exposure, refining our knowledge of AL pathophysiology and providing guidance for follow-up of patients with elevated dFLC.