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Bayesian Spatial Conditional Logistic Regression Modelling of Overweight/Obesity Prevalence and Determinants Among
Killian Asampana Asosega1,2, Eric N Aidoo3, Atinuke Olusola Adebanji4
1Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana, knust.edu.gh.
Overweight/obesity (OW/OB) is a significant public health issue for women of reproductive age in Ghana. Higher risk is linked to education, age, marriage, urban living, and more children, necessitating targeted regional interventions.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Spatial Analysis
Background:
- Overweight/obesity (OW/OB) presents a critical public health challenge for reproductive-aged women in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), including Ghana.
- Rising maternal average BMI and fragile healthcare systems in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries like Ghana necessitate urgent surveillance and intervention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- Identify risk factors for OW/OB in Ghanaian women of reproductive age.
- Analyze spatial distribution of OW/OB risk, accounting for spatial autocorrelation.
- Investigate the confounding effect of modern contraceptive use (MCU) on OW/OB risk.
Main Methods:
- Utilized cross-sectional data from the 2022 Ghana Demographic and Health Survey (GDHS) of 7054 women (aged 15-49).
- Employed a Bayesian spatial conditional logistic regression model to identify significant risk factors.
- Used MCU as a stratification variable to control for potential metabolic or behavioral influences.
Main Results:
- 36.9% of women were overweight/obese (22.5% overweight, 14.4% obese).
- High OW/OB rates (>50%) were observed in Ashanti and Greater Accra regions; lowest (<20%) in North-East region.
- Significant risk factors included higher education, increased age, marriage, urban residency, and higher parity. Regional disparities showed higher burden in middle/southern Ghana compared to northern Ghana.
Conclusions:
- Spatial heterogeneity in OW/OB risk supports targeted regional preventive strategies, especially in high-risk hotspots like Ashanti and Ahafo regions.
- Interventions can help reduce the public health burden of maternal OW/OB in Ghana.
- Addressing maternal OW/OB contributes to ensuring quality health for women (SDG 3).
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