Heart Failure Outcome Prediction Using Artificial Intelligence-enabled Coronary Artery Calcium CT Chamber Volumetry

Eshan Momin1, Jaret Barr1, Gabrielle Gershon1

  • 1Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Emory University, 101 Woodruff Cir, Ste 308A, Atlanta, GA 30322.

Insights

Artificial intelligence (AI) analysis of cardiac chamber volumes from coronary artery calcium (CAC) CT scans significantly improves heart failure (HF) risk prediction compared to existing methods. This deep learning approach enhances early detection for better patient outcomes.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Radiology
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring is used for cardiovascular risk assessment.
  • Predicting cardiovascular disease events-Heart Failure (PREVENT-HF) score is a clinical tool for heart failure risk stratification.
  • Novel methods are needed to improve the accuracy of heart failure risk prediction.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate if artificial intelligence (AI)-derived cardiac chamber volumetry from CAC CT scans can enhance heart failure (HF) risk prediction.
  • To compare the predictive performance of AI-derived volumetry against traditional CAC scoring and the PREVENT-HF score.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 5892 asymptomatic patients who underwent CAC CT scans.
  • AI model used to calculate cardiac chamber volumes (left atrial, left ventricular, right atrial, left ventricular myocardial).
  • Cox proportional hazard regression and time-dependent AUCs used to assess HF risk prediction at 3, 5, 8, and 10 years.

Main Results:

  • Larger cardiac chamber volumes were independently associated with increased HF risk (P < .001).
  • AI-derived chamber volumetry combined with CAC score and PREVENT-HF significantly outperformed PREVENT-HF alone (AUC 0.80 vs 0.76) and CAC score alone (AUC 0.80 vs 0.70) for 10-year HF risk prediction.
  • Diastolic chamber volumes showed a stronger independent association with HF risk than systolic volumes.

Conclusions:

  • AI-derived cardiac chamber volumetry from CAC CT scans offers improved heart failure risk prediction.
  • This AI-driven approach provides incremental value beyond traditional CAC scoring and PREVENT-HF.
  • Deep learning analysis of CT scans holds promise for enhanced cardiovascular risk stratification.

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