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[The determination of the upper limits of year-round morbidity]
Abstract:
The use of K. Pearson's criterion has made it possible to establish that the empirical rows presenting the annual data on dysentery morbidity for each month during the period of many years correspond to binomial distribution. For this reason, the calculation of the highest limit of annual morbidity for many years should be made with the use of the formulae of great radices of quadratic inequation [formula: see text] used in mathematical statistics for the determination of the highest limits in binomial distribution. For the number of observations (n) not the number of inhabitants (which contradicts to the notion of observation in the theory of probability), but the number of minimal values of monthly morbidity, used for the calculation of the minimal average morbidity value omega or theta*, should be taken. To obtain objective results, the minimal average value omega or theta* and the ratio t2/2n must be of the same order, where t is the critical value of Student's criterion equal to 1.96.