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Has the California tobacco control program reduced smoking?
J P Pierce1, E A Gilpin, S L Emery
1Cancer Prevention and Control Program, Cancer Center, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla 92093, USA. JPPierce@ucsd.edu
JAMA
|September 18, 1998
Summary
The California Tobacco Control Program initially reduced smoking, but its effectiveness waned. Public health efforts must adapt to regain momentum against declining tobacco use reduction.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Tobacco Control Research
Background:
- Community-wide tobacco control programs are recognized as essential public health strategies.
- These programs aim to decrease smoking prevalence across populations.
- Evaluating their long-term impact is crucial for public health policy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze smoking behavior trends in California.
- To assess changes before, during, and after the California Tobacco Control Program implementation.
- To compare California's trends with the rest of the United States.
Main Methods:
- Utilized per capita cigarette consumption data (1983-1997) from tobacco industry sales.
- Analyzed adult smoking prevalence using multiple national and state surveys (1978-1997).
- Compared trends in California versus the U.S., dividing the post-program period into early (1989-1993) and late (1994-1996) phases.
Main Results:
- California's per capita cigarette consumption declined 52% faster in the early program phase compared to previous trends.
- This decline was significantly greater than in the rest of the U.S. (P<.001).
- In the later phase, the decline slowed, and smoking prevalence stabilized in California and the U.S., with 18.0% prevalence in California vs. 22.4% in the U.S. by 1996.
Conclusions:
- The California Tobacco Control Program's initial success in reducing smoking did not sustain.
- Potential factors for diminished impact include reduced funding and increased tobacco industry activity.
- Future strategies are needed to revitalize tobacco control efforts and regain momentum.