无条件的现金转账和母亲的就业:从婴儿的第一年研究的证据.
Maria Sauval1, Greg J Duncan1, Lisa A Gennetian2
1University of California, Irvine, School of Education, Irvine, CA 92697, USA.
概括
无条件的现金支持并没有显著改变母亲的就业或幼儿母亲的家庭收入. 然而,现金转账可能在COVID-19大流行期间减少了母亲的工作时间.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 公共政策 公共政策
背景情况:
- 母亲劳动力参与是家庭经济稳定的关键因素,受到各种社会和经济政策的影响.
- 无条件现金转移 (UCTs) 越来越多地被视为政策工具,但它们对母亲就业的影响仍在争论中.
- 了解这些影响对于设计有效的社会支持计划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 估计无条件的每月现金转移对有幼儿的母亲劳动力参与的影响.
- 分析母亲在孩子生命的前四年的工作行为,以回应财政支持.
- 为有关UCT及其经济后果的政策讨论提供经验证据.
主要方法:
- 利用了婴儿第一年研究的数据,这是一项大规模的随机对照试验.
- 在接受无条件现金转移的集团和对照组之间比较了就业结果.
- 分析了涵盖儿童生命前四年的数据,包括COVID-19大流行期间的一段时间.
主要成果:
- 在现金转移和对照组之间,在总体的母亲劳动力参与率或家庭总收入方面没有发现统计学上显著的差异.
- 收到无条件现金转账与在COVID-19大流行 (2020-21) 峰值期间减少母亲工作时间有关.
- 这些发现表明,对长期就业决策的影响最小,但在经济中断期间可能会产生短期影响.
结论:
- 无条件的现金转移似乎不会显著阻止母亲就业或减少长期家庭收入.
- 该研究强调了在经济不确定性严重的时期,例如大流行期间,可能会暂时减少工作时间.
- 政策影响表明,可以考虑UCTs,而不必担心从劳动力中广泛退出.
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