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Critical IT (information technology) issues: the next ten years.

R I Benjamin1, J Blunt

  • 1Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Sloan Management Review
|February 2, 1993
PubMed
Summary

Information technology (IT) is constantly evolving. This study forecasts the IT landscape of the year 2000, offering insights for IT managers navigating a decade of change and planning future strategies.

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Area of Science:

  • Information Technology
  • Information Systems Management
  • Technological Forecasting

Background:

  • Robert Benjamin published an IT forecast in 1982 for the year 1990.
  • The information systems environment was described as being in "a considerable state of flux."
  • IT managers require predictions for strategic planning.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To provide a new set of landmarks for the information technology landscape.
  • To forecast the IT world of the year 2000.
  • To identify expected, unexpected, and unpredictable IT developments.

Main Methods:

  • Review of previous IT forecasting methodologies.
  • Analysis of current IT trends and their projected evolution.
  • Expert consultation and scenario planning.

Main Results:

  • Anticipation of significant shifts in information systems.
  • Identification of key technologies likely to emerge by 2000.
  • Discussion of the limitations of long-term IT prediction.

Conclusions:

  • IT managers must adapt to continuous technological flux.
  • Strategic planning requires anticipating future IT scenarios.
  • The pace of IT innovation necessitates ongoing reevaluation of forecasts.

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