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Published on: June 13, 2020
Coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997-98
P J Webster1, A M Moore, J P Loschnigg
1Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Campus Box 311, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309-311, USA. pjw@oz.colorado.edu
Indian Ocean climate variability may be driven by internal ocean-atmosphere dynamics, not just external events like El Niño/Southern Oscillation. This finding could improve climate predictions for the region.
Area of Science:
- Oceanography
- Atmospheric Science
- Climate Dynamics
Background:
- Indian Ocean climate variability exhibits characteristics seemingly independent of external forcings like El Niño/Southern Oscillation.
- The precise role and mechanisms of internal coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics in shaping the Indian Ocean system remain unresolved.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the 1997-98 seasonal anomalies in Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures, sea surface heights, precipitation, and winds.
- To compare these anomalies with 40 years of Indian Ocean climate variability data.
- To investigate the potential for internal dynamics to drive significant climate anomalies in the region.
Main Methods:
- Detailed analysis of sea surface temperatures, sea surface heights, precipitation, and wind data from 1997-98.
- Comparative analysis with historical Indian Ocean climate variability records spanning 40 years.
Main Results:
- The strong 1997-98 anomalies in the Indian Ocean, despite coinciding with a major El Niño/Southern Oscillation event, appear to be primarily driven by internal dynamics.
- A proposed mechanism of ocean-atmosphere interaction governing the 1997-98 event suggests a characteristic internal mode of the Indian Ocean climate system.
Conclusions:
- The 1997-98 Indian Ocean climate anomalies may represent an internal mode, distinct from direct responses to external influences.
- If this internal mode is robust, it holds potential for improving the predictability of Indian Ocean climate, similar to El Niño prediction in the Pacific.
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