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The marriage squeeze
1The Eliezer Kaplan School of Economics and Social Sciences, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Demography
|January 29, 2011
Summary
Marriage squeeze occurs when population sex-age structures are unbalanced, affecting mate selection probabilities. In 1958 Australia, a male marriage squeeze led to fewer men marrying and more women finding partners.
Area of Science:
- Demography
- Sociology
- Population Studies
Background:
- Marriage patterns are often assumed to reflect preferred mate selections when population sex-age structures are balanced.
- Age-related marriage preferences can be quantified using probabilities of unmarried individuals marrying partners of specific ages.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the impact of unbalanced sex-age structures on marriage patterns using the concept of a "marriage squeeze."
- To investigate the Australian marriage market in 1958, a period with a notable imbalance.
Main Methods:
- Utilized 1949 Australian marriage statistics as a baseline for preferred mate selection.
- Calculated expected numbers of grooms and brides for each age combination to identify marriage squeeze scenarios.
- Compared expected numbers with observed marriages to assess the squeeze's effects.
Main Results:
- In 1958, Australian men of most ages experienced a marriage squeeze.
- This imbalance resulted in some younger and older men remaining unmarried.
- Conversely, younger and older women experienced enhanced marriage prospects due to the squeeze.
Conclusions:
- Marriage squeeze dynamics significantly influence individual marriage probabilities and outcomes.
- Population sex-age structure imbalances can lead to observable deviations from preferred mate selection patterns.
- The study highlights the complex interplay between demographic structure and marriage market outcomes.
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