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Prioritising CVD prevention therapy - absolute risk versus individual risk factors
Jenny Doust1, Sharon Sanders, Jonathan Shaw
1Centre for Research in Evidence Based Practice, Bond University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia. jdoust@bond.edu.au
Insights
An absolute risk approach for cardiovascular disease prevention in Australia prioritizes treatment for high-risk individuals, but clarity on its definition is needed. This method identifies fewer patients for blood pressure and lipid-lowering therapy compared to individual risk factors.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Preventive Medicine
Background:
- High-risk individuals in Australia often lack adequate cardiovascular disease prevention, including blood pressure and lipid-lowering therapies.
- The impact of shifting from individual risk factors to an absolute risk approach on treatment rates remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the proportion of untreated individuals recommended for blood pressure and lipid-lowering therapy using individual risk factor assessment versus an absolute risk approach.
- To evaluate the implications of adopting an absolute risk model for cardiovascular disease prevention strategies in Australia.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of participants from the AusDiab follow-up cohort study with no prior cardiovascular disease or current medication.
- Classification of participants based on individual risk factors (elevated blood pressure, dyslipidemia) versus combined absolute risk assessment.
Main Results:
- Among 3627 untreated participants, 12% had elevated blood pressure and 27% had dyslipidemia; 5% had both.
- Individual risk factor approaches would lead to treatment for 34% of participants, while the absolute risk approach identified only 8% as high-risk.
Conclusions:
- An absolute risk approach effectively prioritizes treatment for the highest-risk individuals.
- Ambiguities persist regarding the precise definition and application of the absolute risk approach in clinical practice.
Background:
Previous studies suggest that a high proportion of persons at high risk of cardiovascular disease in Australia are not receiving adequate disease prevention with blood pressure and lipid lowering therapy. However, it is not clear how a move to an absolute risk factor approach will affect the proportion of the population that is treated with blood pressure and lipid lowering therapy versus treatment based on individual risk factors.
Methods:
We classified participants in the AusDiab follow up cohort study who had no previous history of cardiovascular disease and who were not taking blood pressure or lipid lowering medication currently according to the presence of individual risk factors versus combined absolute risk.
Results:
Of the 3627 participants who were untreated, 429 (12%) had elevated blood pressure and 983 (27%) had dyslipidaemia, with 167 (5%) having both risk factors. 1245 participants (34%) would be treated using the individual risk factor approaches and 281 (8%) using the absolute risk approach based on the most clearly defined criteria of high risk.
Conclusion:
Moving to an absolute risk approach prioritises treatment to those most at risk, but ambiguities regarding what is meant by the absolute risk approach remain.
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