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Published on: February 13, 2020
Application of new cholesterol guidelines to a population-based sample.
Michael J Pencina1, Ann Marie Navar-Boggan, Ralph B D'Agostino
1From the Duke Clinical Research Institute (M.J.P., B.N., E.D.P.), Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics (M.J.P), and Division of Cardiology (A.M.N.-B.), Duke University, Durham, NC; the Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Boston University and the Harvard Clinical Research Institute - both in Boston (R.B.D.); KenAnCo Biostatistics, San Antonio, TX (K.W.); and Royal Victoria Hospital, McGill University, Montreal (A.D.S.).
The 2013 cholesterol guidelines significantly expand statin therapy eligibility, recommending it for 12.8 million more adults, primarily older individuals without cardiovascular disease, to prevent future events.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Pharmacology
Background:
- The 2013 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association (ACC-AHA) guidelines broadened recommendations for statin therapy in cardiovascular disease prevention.
- Previous guidelines, such as the Third Adult Treatment Panel (ATP III), had different eligibility criteria for statin use.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the number of U.S. adults eligible for statin therapy under the new ACC-AHA guidelines.
- To compare the risk-factor profile of newly eligible individuals with previous guidelines.
- To extrapolate these findings to the U.S. adult population aged 40-75 years.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (2005-2010).
- Calculated the number of eligible persons based on ACC-AHA guidelines versus ATP III guidelines.
- Extrapolated findings to an estimated 115.4 million U.S. adults (40-75 years).
Main Results:
- The new ACC-AHA guidelines would increase statin eligibility from 43.2 million (37.5%) to 56.0 million (48.6%) adults.
- The majority of the increase (10.4 million) is among adults without pre-existing cardiovascular disease.
- Eligibility significantly increases for older adults (60-75 years) without cardiovascular disease, particularly men, driven by 10-year cardiovascular event risk assessment.
Conclusions:
- The ACC-AHA cholesterol guidelines substantially increase the number of adults eligible for statin therapy by 12.8 million.
- This expansion primarily affects older adults without cardiovascular disease.
- The updated guidelines enhance sensitivity for identifying individuals who would benefit from statin therapy but may decrease specificity.
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