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Longitudinal Changes in Vascular Risk Markers and Mortality Rates among a Latino Population with Hypertension
Insights
Vascular markers like pulse-wave velocity and carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) predict cardiovascular disease risk and mortality in minority populations, outperforming inflammatory markers.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology
- Vascular Biology
- Biomarker Research
Background:
- Traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors may not fully capture risk in minority populations.
- Vascular markers like pulse-wave velocity and carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) show promise for improved risk prediction.
- Characterization of these markers in diverse populations is limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate vascular markers (arterial pulse-wave velocity, CIMT) and inflammatory biomarkers for predicting cardiovascular disease and mortality in a hypertensive minority cohort.
- To assess the longitudinal changes and correlations of these markers over time.
- To determine if vascular markers offer superior prediction compared to inflammatory markers.
Main Methods:
- Prospective, longitudinal cohort study in hypertensive patients at an urban safety-net hospital.
- Evaluation of inflammatory biomarkers, pulse-wave velocity, and CIMT at baseline, 1 year, and 2 years.
- Generalized linear mixed-effects models for CIMT associations; administrative and National Death Index data for mortality.
Main Results:
- Pulse-wave velocity and CIMT regressed over time and were highly correlated (P <0.001).
- Only pulse-wave velocity (P=0.002) and total cholesterol (P=0.03) associated with CIMT in time-varying analysis.
- Higher baseline CIMT and pulse-wave velocity correlated with increased mortality (P <0.01); no inflammatory marker showed significant correlation with CIMT changes or death.
Conclusions:
- Arterial stiffness and preclinical carotid atherosclerosis are significant predictors of mortality in this minority population.
- Vascular markers, specifically pulse-wave velocity and CIMT, may serve as valuable risk-stratification tools.
- Inflammatory biomarkers did not demonstrate significant utility in predicting longitudinal CIMT changes or mortality in this cohort.
Abstract:
Vascular markers such as pulse-wave velocity and carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) might improve the prediction of incident cardiovascular disease beyond traditional risk factors. These vascular markers have not been well characterized in minority populations and might be more useful than inflammatory biomarkers. We conducted a prospective, longitudinal cohort study among hypertensive patients in an urban safety-net hospital. We evaluated inflammatory biomarkers, arterial pulse-wave velocity, and carotid intima-media thickness at baseline, 1 year, and 2 years. The primary outcome variable was CIMT. Generalized linear mixed-effects models were used to evaluate associations between CIMT and predictive variables accounting for the correlation of multiple measurements within subjects over time. For our secondary outcome, we used administrative and National Death Index data to determine all-cause death, and univariate relationships were evaluated. Among 175 subjects, 117 were Latino (67%) and 117 were female (67%). Pulse-wave velocity and CIMT regressed over time (both P <0.001) and were highly correlated (P <0.001). Only pulse-wave velocity (P=0.002) and total cholesterol (P=0.03) were associated with CIMT in time-varying covariate analysis. At a median follow-up period of 80 months, 17 of 175 subjects had died (10%). Higher baseline CIMT and pulse-wave velocity were associated with increased mortality rates (both P <0.01). No serum inflammatory marker was significantly correlated with longitudinal changes in CIMT or death. In conclusion, both arterial stiffness and preclinical carotid atherosclerosis were associated with increased mortality rates and might be useful risk-stratification markers among this minority population.
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