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Disasters as Learning Experiences or Disasters as Policy Opportunities? Examining Flood Insurance Purchases after
Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
|September 1, 2016
Summary
Federal disaster aid significantly boosts flood insurance purchases, with most increases driven by mandatory insurance requirements for aid recipients, not just storm events. This highlights the impact of policy on risk management decisions.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Economics
- Public Policy
Background:
- Flood insurance is vital for community resilience and risk management.
- Disaster occurrence influences insurance decisions, often attributed to behavioral biases.
- Federal disaster aid policy may also impact flood insurance uptake due to recipient requirements.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine how hurricane occurrence, disaster declarations, and aid requirements affect flood insurance take-up rates.
- To quantify the impact of federal disaster aid policy on flood insurance purchases.
- To differentiate between voluntary and mandatory flood insurance purchases post-disaster.
Main Methods:
- Utilized fixed effects models on a US Atlantic and Gulf coast flood insurance policy database (2001-2010).
- Analyzed insurance purchase responses to hurricanes, tropical storms, disaster declarations, and aid mandates.
- Differentiated between voluntary and disaster-aid-required insurance policies.
Main Results:
- Hurricanes increased net flood insurance purchases by 7.2% in the year following the event, fading within three years.
- Presidential disaster declarations for floods raised take-up rates by 6.7%.
- Disaster aid grants increased take-up by 5%, accounting for most post-hurricane policy increases; mandatory insurance explained the majority of post-disaster purchases.
Conclusions:
- Federal disaster aid policy, specifically mandatory insurance for recipients, is a primary driver of flood insurance purchases after disasters.
- The impact of hurricanes on voluntary flood insurance purchases is smaller than previously thought when policy requirements are considered.
- Understanding the role of federal policy is crucial for effective flood risk management and insurance strategies.
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