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ECONOMIC AND LEGAL FORECAST ANALYSIS OF THE HEALTHCARE FINANCING SOURCES MATURITY IN UKRAINE
V Novytskyi1, A Novytskyi1, O Lysenko2
11University of State Fiscal Service of Ukraine, Irpin, Ukraine.
Abstract:
The purpose of this article is to analyze the current situation of the development of the financial support sources in healthcare. In theoretical part we used generalized scientific methods of research such as analysis and synthesis to determine all the financial support sources in healthcare. In practical part we used the bulk of raw and processed statistical data and forecasting engine from Excel 2019 to understand the development trends of the healthcare financing sources and to define the level of their maturity based on their development lines. Public expenses on healthcare cant cover all expenses of healthcare institutions, low level of insurance medicine in Ukraine, high corruption risks in healthcare sector and others. So, healthcare institutions have to search for additional funding. In our article, we analyzed both parts of the financial source maturity problem - theoretical and practical. In theoretical part we defined the term financial source maturity, underlined its levels and described the lines of indicators for each level. In practical part we proposed the mechanism of financing source maturity testing and tested the level of maturity of all available healthcare financing sources. As potential result, we tested that it is possible to use a forecasting engine based on AAA version of exponential smoothing that is provided by Excel 2016, 365 and 2019 versions for this research. Other versions contains the AAA version of exponential smoothing that doesn't have needed instructions and indicators.
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