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Cost-sensitive learning for semi-supervised hit-and-run analysis.

Siying Zhu1, Jianwu Wan1

  • 1School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore.

Accident; Analysis and Prevention
|May 28, 2021
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a cost-sensitive semi-supervised logistic regression (CS³LR) model to address class imbalance and missing labels in hit-and-run crash analysis. The CS³LR model effectively identifies key contributing factors to these crashes, improving prediction accuracy.

Keywords:
Cost-sensitiveHit-and-runImbalanced datasetSemi-supervised learningUnlabelled data

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Area of Science:

  • Traffic safety research
  • Machine learning applications in transportation
  • Data science for accident analysis

Background:

  • Hit-and-run crashes pose significant societal and logistical challenges, including delayed medical services.
  • Existing crash analysis methods struggle with class imbalance and missing data, limiting the effective use of unlabelled samples.
  • Accurate analysis of hit-and-run incidents is crucial for developing effective prevention strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose a novel cost-sensitive semi-supervised logistic regression (CS³LR) model for analyzing hit-and-run crashes.
  • To address the challenges of class imbalance and missing labels in crash datasets.
  • To improve the prediction and identification of factors contributing to hit-and-run collisions.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a cost-sensitive semi-supervised logistic regression (CS³LR) model.
  • Utilizing a maximum likelihood framework for joint label estimation on both labelled and unlabelled data.
  • Application to a crash dataset from Victoria, Australia (2013-2019).

Main Results:

  • The CS³LR model demonstrated superior performance compared to traditional logistic regression and other machine learning methods.
  • Significant contributing factors to hit-and-run crashes were identified with high consistency using only 10% labelled data.
  • Analysis revealed the impact of class-weighted ratios and hyper-parameter λ on model performance.

Conclusions:

  • The CS³LR model offers an effective solution for analyzing imbalanced and incomplete crash data.
  • The methodology provides reliable insights into hit-and-run crash contributing factors, even with limited labelled data.
  • Findings can inform policy development for preventing hit-and-run incidents and related crimes.