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Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland
Gavin M Abernethy1, David H Glass2
1Engineering and Mathematics, Sheffield Hallam University, Sheffield, UK.
Abstract:
An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.
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