Analysis of Stochastic SIRC Model with Cross Immunity Based on Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process
Zhiming Ni1, Daqing Jiang1, Zhongwei Cao2
1College of Science, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao, 266580 People's Republic of China.
Abstract:
In this paper, we analyze a stochastic SIRC model with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Firstly, we give the existence and uniqueness of global solution of stochastic SIRC model and prove it. In addition, the existence of ergodic stationary distributions for stochastic SIRC system is proved by constructing a suitable series of Lyapunov functions. A quasi-endemic equilibrium related to endemic equilibrium of deterministic systems is defined by considering randomness. And we obtain the probability density function of the linearized system near the equilibrium point. After the proof of probability density function, the sufficient condition of disease extinction is given and proved. We prove the theoretical results in the paper by numerical simulation at the end of the paper.
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