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Resilience assessment tool for port planning.

Manhar Dhanak1, Scott Parr2, Evangelos I Kaisar3

  • 1Florida Atlantic University, USA.

Environment and Planning. B, Urban Analytics and City Science
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Summary

A new predictive tool quantifies port resilience using traffic simulation and vessel data. This assessment method helps stakeholders understand regional impacts from disruptions like hurricanes, improving port viability.

Keywords:
Port resilienceintegrated hybrid port modelingresilience quantification

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Area of Science:

  • Marine transportation systems analysis
  • Resilience engineering
  • Predictive modeling

Background:

  • US ports and terminals are vital to the national economy, but disruptions can cause significant economic damage.
  • Existing performance and resilience measures for ports are not standardized, hindering effective planning.
  • Port stakeholders require tools to ensure long-term operational viability and resilience.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and demonstrate a predictive tool for assessing port resilience.
  • To provide a quantifiable method for evaluating port performance under disruptive events.
  • To enhance stakeholder understanding of regional consequences from port disruptions.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a hybrid multimodal analysis tool integrating microscopic traffic simulation (VISSIM) with port operations.
  • Created waterside port simulation models using vessel Automatic Identification System (AIS) data within a VISSIM landside simulation.
  • Quantified local and regional resilience using time-dependent resilience plots.

Main Results:

  • Demonstrated the utility of the predictive port resilience assessment tool on six Southeast US ports.
  • Visualized vessel interactions with each other and landside infrastructure in a hybrid simulation.
  • Quantified resilience, showing its utility as a performance measure, particularly in response to Hurricane Matthew.

Conclusions:

  • The developed tool offers a novel, stakeholder-focused approach to assessing port resilience.
  • The hybrid modeling methodology can be applied to various port hazards beyond hurricanes.
  • This research advances the understanding of regional impacts and improves predictive resilience assessment for marine transportation systems.