Circulating MicroRNAs as Predictors of Beta Cell Function in Youth-onset Type 2 Diabetes: The TODAY Study

In the Treatment Options for Type 2 Diabetes in Adolescents and Youth (TODAY) study, an intervention trial followed by an observational phase, half the participants reached the primary outcome [hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) ≥ 8% for at least 6 months] within 4 years, which was associated with a decrease in C-peptide oral disposition index (oDI). We aimed to identify circulating microRNA (miRNA) species associated with a decline in beta cell function.

Following a preliminary survey of select participants using nCounter Human v3 miRNA Panel (NanoString Technologies), polymerase chain reaction analyses were carried out for 17 miRNAs from 365 participants from samples at baseline, 24, 60, 96, and 120 months.

Using a backward selection approach, 4 baseline miRNA log2 fold-changes independently predicted treatment failure; however, baseline HbA1c was higher in those with treatment failure. Three baseline miRNA log2 fold-changes remained significant predictors of this C-peptide oDI decline ≥20% (P < .05). Increased levels of miRNA-155 [odds ratio (OR): 1.2, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1-1.4] and miRNA-130b (OR:1.3, 95% CI: 1.0-1.7) were associated with oDI decline, while decreased levels of miRNA-126 (OR: 0.6, 95% CI: .4-.8) were associated with oDI decline. miRNA-122 was negatively correlated with C-peptide oDI at baseline and 24 months (R = 0.22, P < .01 and R = 0.19, P < .01, respectively) and positively correlated with proinsulin at baseline, 24, and 60 months (R = 0.26, P < 0.01, R = 0.26, P < .01, R = 0.18, P < .01, respectively).

The miRNA species associated with beta cell function are associated with alterations in cellular metabolism and apoptosis, suggesting that differences in baseline abundance may serve as circulating markers of beta cell dysfunction and provide potential mechanistic insights into the aggressive nature of youth-onset type 2 diabetes.